Pre-tourney Rankings
Southwestern Athletic
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
220 Texas Southern 100.0%   15   23 - 11 16 - 2 23 - 11 16 - 2 -3.7      -1.7 215 -2.0 232 69.1 133 +0.4 151 -1.7 1
290 Alcorn St. 0.0%   15 - 14 13 - 5 15 - 14 13 - 5 -8.1      -7.0 328 -1.1 201 67.4 193 -8.1 289 -7.6 2
321 Prairie View 0.0%   11 - 20 10 - 8 11 - 20 10 - 8 -10.8      -5.4 303 -5.4 308 67.3 195 -12.4 330 -12.0 6
327 Southern 0.0%   13 - 17 10 - 8 13 - 17 10 - 8 -12.0      -4.6 286 -7.4 332 67.6 187 -11.4 323 -11.8 5
329 Jackson St. 0.0%   12 - 17 10 - 8 12 - 17 10 - 8 -12.2      -9.1 340 -3.1 257 60.9 320 -11.8 326 -11.8 4
331 Grambling St. 0.0%   13 - 17 10 - 8 13 - 17 10 - 8 -12.3      -5.9 313 -6.4 319 65.5 236 -11.4 324 -11.8 3
342 Alabama St. 0.0%   7 - 23 6 - 12 7 - 23 6 - 12 -15.7      -9.2 342 -6.5 322 68.2 163 -16.7 344 -17.3 9
344 Mississippi Valley 0.0%   7 - 25 7 - 11 7 - 25 7 - 11 -16.6      -6.0 317 -10.5 348 73.2 57 -16.5 343 -15.6 7
348 Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0%   6 - 24 6 - 12 6 - 24 6 - 12 -18.3      -12.6 351 -5.7 312 65.6 232 -17.7 346 -16.9 8
351 Alabama A&M 0.0%   2 - 27 2 - 16 2 - 27 2 - 16 -21.0      -9.0 339 -12.0 350 60.7 322 -25.1 350 -24.7 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Texas Southern 1.0 100.0
Alcorn St. 2.0 100.0
Prairie View 3.0 100.0
Southern 3.0 100.0
Jackson St. 3.0 100.0
Grambling St. 3.0 100.0
Alabama St. 8.0 100.0
Mississippi Valley 7.0 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 8.0 100.0
Alabama A&M 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Texas Southern 16 - 2 100.0
Alcorn St. 13 - 5 100.0
Prairie View 10 - 8 100.0
Southern 10 - 8 100.0
Jackson St. 10 - 8 100.0
Grambling St. 10 - 8 100.0
Alabama St. 6 - 12 100.0
Mississippi Valley 7 - 11 100.0
Arkansas Pine Bluff 6 - 12 100.0
Alabama A&M 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Texas Southern 100.0% 100.0
Alcorn St.
Prairie View
Southern
Jackson St.
Grambling St.
Alabama St.
Mississippi Valley
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Alabama A&M


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Texas Southern 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15   0.3 59.0 40.8
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Texas Southern 100.0% 7.7% 95.5% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alcorn St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Prairie View 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grambling St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi Valley 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas Pine Bluff 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 95.5% 1.0 4.5 95.5
2nd Round 1.0% 0.0 99.0 1.0
Sweet Sixteen 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.1
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0